 |
Policy Notes
Development Research News
Discussion Papers
Keyword Search
Author Search
Economic Issue of the Day
Philippine Journal of Development
Research Paper Series
Books
Catalogue of
Publications
How to order publications |
 |
| DP 2009-16 | Small Area Estimation of Poverty Statistics | | Villa Juan-Albacea, Zita |
| In response to high demands for lower level poverty estimates, the National
Statistical Coordination Board releases provincial estimates, in addition to the
national and regional, starting with the 1997 FIES. However, estimates of the
coefficients of variation (CV) of several provincial estimates indicate that the resulting poverty measures are not reliable. Making a decision based on unreliable poverty statistics is very risky especially if the decision to be made relates to the welfare of poor families. Such unreliable poverty statistics may also lead to incorrect targeting of the right beneficiaries of the poverty alleviation program. Hence, this paper provides alternative ways of coming up with subnational statistics (i.e., provincial and municipal/city-level data) that yield lower CVs than those of the official ones. This refers to the small area estimation (SAE) technique, a model-based approach to produce provincial or even municipal-level data. With a good predicting model, the
SAE technique has a lot of potential in providing reliable subnational estimates for poverty reduction efforts. | | keywords: | poverty statistics,small area estimates (SAE),synthetic estimation,composite estimation,regression-synthetic,empirical best linear unbiased prediction estimator (EBLUP),Elbers, Lanjouw, and Lanjouw (ELL) estimation procedure | | Download PDF copy | |
Other PIDS Publications Authored/Co-Authored by "Villa Juan-Albacea, Zita"... -------------------- Other PIDS Publications with keyword "poverty statistics"... Other PIDS Publications with keyword "small area estimates (SAE)"... Other PIDS Publications with keyword "synthetic estimation"... Other PIDS Publications with keyword "composite estimation"... Other PIDS Publications with keyword "regression-synthetic"... Other PIDS Publications with keyword "empirical best linear unbiased prediction estimator (EBLUP)"... Other PIDS Publications with keyword "Elbers, Lanjouw, and Lanjouw (ELL) estimation procedure"...
|